Tuesday, April 24, 2012

25th April Comex Levels Technical Fundamental Report Tips and Trading Calls


Insignia Consultants
New Delhi
Wednesday, April 25, 2012
TIME 07:10 AM   IST
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COMEX DAILY REPORT

Executive Summary
·         All eyes on the Federal reserve meeting
·         Gold and silver may have bottomed out yesterday.
·         Be prepared for big moves in gold, silver and crude oil
Greece's economy will contract a deeper than expected 5 percent this year, the country's central bank chief said. The projection topped a previous forecast the central bank made in March, when it projected the 215 billion euro economy would contract 4.5 percent after a 6.9 percent slump in 2011. In our view Greece, Spain and Italy will continue to hit headlines. However most of the bad news on economy has been discounted in by the markets and any positive news over the coming weeks and months will result in gains for the euro.
Silver
Silver holdings in exchange-traded products slumped by $626.9 million as prices traded near a three-month low and exchange stockpiles climbed, underscoring concern a global economic slowdown may curb demand. Silver ETP holdings, which dropped 4.5 percent in 2011, were 17,017.9 tons on 23rd April.
Our view: This is just short term which may last for a few weeks and to a quarter. One should use this quarters fall in silver (if any) to invest for a period of three years. I expect silver prices to test $90.00 in 2014. Silver prices may rise in a very big way in 2012 and 2013 but in 2014 I expect silver to be the best performing commodity. One can also invest in 2014 silver call options.
TODAY
Any comments of further liquidity boosting measure by the Federal Reserve will result in all commodities rising by fifteen percent over the coming weeks and months.
COMEX BUY ABOVE/SELL BELOW CALLS – ONLY FOR THOSE TRADERS WHO TRADE ON TRADING SCREENS
(To be done on which ever trading call is executed first)
GOLD JUNE 2012: Buy over $1644 for $1649-$1654-$1666 or sell below $1638 for $1635.70-$1631 and $1619
SILVER MAY 2012: Buy over $3090 for $3110-$3148-$3198 or sell below $3045 for $3015-$2980-$2915
COPPER MAY 2012: Buy over $367 for $370.50-$377 or sell below $362 for $359.50-$357
NYMEX CRUDE OIL: Buy over $103.90 for $104.60-$105.60 or sell below $103.30 for $102.90-$101.80
COMEX TECHNICAL VIEW
GOLD JUNE 2012 TECHNICAL LEVELS 
SUPPORT
RESISTANCE
S1
S2
S3
S4
R1
R2
R3
R4
$1,608.00
$1,617.75
$1,623.60
$1,632.10
$1,639.40
$1,649.20
$1,657.70
$1,668.30
SILVER MAY 2012 TECHNICAL LEVELS
SUPPORT
RESISTANCE
S1
S2
S3
S4
R1
R2
R3
R4
$2,845.00
$2,911.00
$3,005.00
$3,055.00
$3,090.00
$3,115.00
$3,148.00
$3,248.00
COPPER MAY 2012 TECHNICAL LEVELS
`
RESISTANCE
S1
S2
S3
S4
R1
R2
R3
R4
$355.50
$358.30
$360.70
$362.30
$368.40
$371.10
$374.50
$381.30
CRUDE OIL (1st Contract)
SUPPORT
RESISTANCE
S1
S2
S3
S4
R1
R2
R3
R4
$101.30
$102.00
$102.70
$103.20
$104.10
$104.80
$105.20
$106.40

COMEX GOLD JUNE 2012 – current price $1642.10
Trading Strategy: neutral watch $1635.80
Bullish over $1637.10 with $1649 and $1662 price target
Bearish below $1632.10 with $1623.40 and $1611 as price target
Neutral Zone between $1632-$1637
Break point: $1649
  • Gold targets $1662 as long as it trades over $1621-$1625 zone
  • There will be sellers only below $1632
  • Trading call: Buy around $1630-$1632 zone stop loss below $1618 for $1662-$1692 – call for tomorrow
COMEX SILVER MAY 2012 – current price $3079.50
Trading Strategy: Key long term support is at $3045
Bullish over $3090 with $3155-$3255 as price target
Bearish below $3045 with $3005-$2910 as price target
Neutral Zone between: $3045-$3060
Break point: $3055 and $3090
  • $3045 is the key long term support and silver can rise to $3200-$3300 as long as it trades over $3045. There will be a technical break down only below $3090
  • Trading call: Buy around $3005 stop loss below $2880 for $3210-$3330 – call for tomorrow
COMEX COPPER MAY 2012 – current price $366.85
Trading Strategy: Bullish target $381
Bullish over $363 with $371 -$381 as price target
Bearish below $359 with $355.80-$343 as price target
Neutral Zone between: $359-$363
Break point: $364.10
  • Copper targets $369 and $376 this week as long as it trades over $361
  • There will be buyers on dips as long as copper trades over $361
  • Trading call: Buy around $363 stop loss below $359 for $371-$380
NYMEX CRUDE OIL (1ST CONTRACT)  - current price $103.68
Neutral watch $103.20
Bullish over $103.30 with $105.20 and $107.70 as price target
Bearish below $102.20 with $100.80 and $99.40 as price target
Break point: $104.30
  • Crude oil needs to trade over $103.30 to target $105.20-$107
  • There will be sellers below $103.30
  • Trading call:  Sell around $105.10 stop loss over $106.40 for $102.20-$101.60
Disclaimer: Any opinions as to the commentary, market information, and future direction of prices of specific currencies, metals and commodities reflect the views of the individual analyst, In no event shall Insignia Consultants or its employees  have any liability for any losses incurred in connection with any decision made, action or inaction taken by any party in reliance upon the information provided in this material; or in any delays, inaccuracies, errors in, or omissions of Information. Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
Disclosure: Insignia consultants or it employees do not have any trading positions on the trading strategies mentioned above. Our clients do have positions on the trading strategies mentioned in the above report.
Happy profitable trading
NOTES TO THE ABOVE REPORT
PLEASE NOTE: HOLDS MEANS HOLDS ON DAILY CLOSING BASIS
PLEASE USE APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES ON INTRA DAY TRADES TO LIMIT LOSSES.
APPROPRIATE STOP LOSSES PER LOT IN US DOLLARS ON THE TRADING CALLS GIVEN IN THIS REPORT
COMEX GOLD – $15-$17
COMEX SILVER: $25-$30
COMEX COPPER: $3
NYMEX CRUDE OIL: $0.60
SPOT SILVER: $0.25
SPOT GOLD: $15-$17
THE TIME GIVEN IN THE REPORT IS THE TIME OF COMPLETION OF REPORT
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